Let’s face it, the main reason we bet on the spread market is for profit, in fact the main reason we bet and play is for profit, yes we bet for the thrill of betting, the thrill that generates and how insignificant sporting events are. suddenly it has become extremely significant.
There are many theories, guides and strategies on the internet on how you can make spread betting profitable and successful and I wouldn’t disagree with most of them, but on this page I outline what I have found successful in my spread betting career. .
Investigation
This is the most vital part of spread betting and what I find to be a very enjoyable part, going in search of knowledge and information and finding new sources is brilliant. In sports like cricket you should always find out the weather, the wicket, the team selection and any team divisions, but more specifically you should be able to figure out what the likely outcomes are for such events, ask yourself if the favorites will win in the horse racing when the going is good to do. In football it makes a big difference to team morale and divisions in the team and arguments between players, ie when Fergie dropped Nistlerooy United’s average goals per game dropped by about 0.3, which has a negative effect on the total goals market. Any bet you place checks that you are betting for the right reasons, not just a hunch. Factual information is needed to form an opinion valid enough to place a bet. That’s where the profit is won and lost (besides a bit of luck).
Accounts administration
Create a spreadsheet that lists all the details of your bets, such as which sport, which market, whether you bought or sold, where your research or suggestion came from, the amount wagered, and the win or loss.
e.g
|Sports | Market | Buy/Sell | Research/Tips | stake | Propagation | Profit/Loss |
| Golf | Leaderboard | Buy | spread friend | £10 | 9-11 | +90€ |
By filling in your betting history in a table like this, you can get valuable information over a period of time, such as which sports are returning your interest with money, which markets are best to buy or sell, if any tipster is really good at what they do or and if the research you did on the bet paid off. If you are researching what betting strategies work for you, I would recommend trying to keep an even bet so that you can easily gauge what is successful and what is not.
Always be fully aware of the potential gains and losses of each bet you place before confirming each bet, because as much as a banker who believes a bet is, he is still aware of the outcome in case it is turned on its head.
market selection
From past experience I would strongly recommend that you only venture into markets that you fully understand, by this I mean from the sport you are betting on to the type of market you are betting on such as total objectives. Lots of people have gotten stuck with some markets, for example I’ve read about people thinking the total goals bet was per decimal point not per goal so instead of placing a bet of £200 per goal , they placed a bet of £20 thinking it was for each decimal point. It turns out that the punter won £42 instead of the £420 he thought he was getting.
weather effects
Be aware of what effect the weather has on each sport you support, and always research what the weather forecast is for that particular region. For example, with cricket, if there are thunderstorms ahead locally and you know about it before the broadcast companies are informed, you can sell total runs for that day and make a killing, or things like sunny runs from Formula 1 attract much faster lap times than when the wet tires have to come off.
find the value
As a spread bettor you need to be able to define the difference between value and a winner, a value bet does not always mean you have a winner on your hands, value means the spread is actually over or underestimated to a likely outcome. Take for example the Republic of Ireland v. The Netherlands game in this Ireland had around 8 players injured, assistant boss Sir Bobby Robson fell ill and Steve Staunton had a scuffle involving him being held with a gun to his head. As well as this new kid on the block in Dutch football, Huntelaar was making his first international start, combined I would say an understandable win for the Netherlands. The broadcasting companies did not believe it saying that the Netherlands would win by 0.4 goals. I disagreed and won £850, which is a good definition of value in a market.
Math Betting
Math betting can be very profitable and successful, my personal opinion is to look at the stats and take it into account, but by no means trust math betting unless you have been informed of arbitrage. The mathematical bets do not take into account the climate of football clubs, transfers in and out of clubs which can have a massive impact. Here’s an extreme example of what could happen betting on past math stats, Aston Villa haven’t beaten Arsenal in the league for 10 years, they only scored 2 goals and conceded 25 goals, a multi-million dollar acquisition of Aston Villa happens in the summer and spend 200 million in transfers, while at Arsenal the coach leaves his star striker and the team is disorganized and without any kind of direction. This is an extreme example of how statistics cannot give you a full picture of how this match could turn out.
Analysis of market drivers
Market movers can be very profitable for a spread bettor, there is no general rule of thumb for negative and positive market movers just to analyze and find information on why prices move so much, horse racing is what better for this purpose. there is limited time to investigate the reasons, most of the time there are justified reasons for the price change so it may be worth jumping in before it plummets further, other times you might be moving in the wrong direction by opening the possibility of more value at margin, an example of this was England’s world cup price, a lot of patriotic backing led to the price being inaccurate regardless of England’s chance of winning the world cup.
Negative thinking pays off
Generally people like to bet on what they consider to be a positive outlook for a bet like Manchester United win rather than Manchester City lose, I’m not just talking about the win ratios, look at the performance and what can be sold because the number of people buying on spreads indicates that sellers mean an unwarranted higher spread, but do your research as this is not always the case.
Myths of always buying in the markets
There are many myths that if you always buy or sell a specific market on average you will end up winning and after a lot of research this is not the case, in the early days of spread betting there were markets you could manipulate but those Days have passed since spread companies soon realize if their spreads are constantly overstated or understated.
To be a successful bettor, the most important task is to research your bets, markets and news, the fact is that if you do more research than the betting companies and have a good knowledge of the sport in question, you are halfway to a betting account. healthy, the other half is luck.