Everyone seems to have their own NFL betting tips that they follow. But if these people were as good as they claim to be at predicting the outcome of the game, they wouldn’t be wasting their time on an Internet forum shouting in all caps how good they are at betting. What you need are some legitimate NFL betting tips that can help you be more successful and make better decisions when your money is on the line.
As you may already know, the home team in the NFL automatically gets three points in their favor for the differential. This is there to explain the home field advantage that is prevalent in the NFL. From the crowd to playing in the friendly confines of your own stadium and other factors, playing at home certainly increases a team’s chances of winning.
But don’t fall for it and automatically pick the home team that is favored by a few points. Consider that if the home team is favored by 1 point, if the teams were playing in the other team’s stadium, that same team would lose by 5 points. Some teams don’t live up to expectations at home and go down as favourites. Other teams thrive by playing on the road and silencing the home team crowd.
So you need to worry less about the back and forth and more about the recent history between the two teams. Cross-division rivalries tend to turn all the classic NFL betting strategies you’ve heard of into wasted rhetoric. Anything can happen in a divisional game, and you have to look back at least three years to see who has been winning and where teams have been winning.
Divisional opponents can easily go through multi-season stretches of domination against each other, and at the same time, they can spend years and years splitting the series each time. There is not a rule for each game, it is a matter of looking at the individual match to see what the trend has been.
There are also many NFL betting strategies that look at how to choose the Over/Under for a particular game. Again, one of the best NFL betting tips I can give is to worry less about “tried and true” rules and more about the teams themselves. You can quickly average the point for and against a team to see if it beats the Over/Under, but you’re only selling short.
You have to take other things into account, such as the quality of the opponents that resulted in those point totals, weather conditions, team matchups, etc. You also have to consider player injuries and how teams have fared in previous weeks to see if they can be satisfied or hungry.
Every NFL game is inherently different and cannot be generalized to each and every game. If you understand that, then you have been given the best NFL betting advice you can ever have.